Details were just revealed in the court case. Now that is Xbox/PC only, I'm thinking more like 7-8m sales between Xbox and PC, and somewhere between 15-20m players thanks to Gamepass.

A more reasonable sales expectation at the time would have been 13m on all 3 platforms, about 5.5m of which was PS5. You're just not going to move a likely 20m+ between all 3 platforms (PC, PS5, Xbox) with a fake, not Harrison Ford Indy. On top of that, I'm guessing that MachineGames don't have Harrison Ford voice acting or mo-cap, or even his likeness rights, it is likely similar to the Marvel deals Square and EA made with Disney, where they can use the characters but don't have the MCU actor likeness rights. I just can't see it, the Indy IP isn't what it used to be, just look at how Indy 5 has flopped at the box office, it's looking like it won't even reach half of it's break even point. In order for Indy to do 10m+ on PS5 alone it would have to sell more than the biggest Tomb Raider across all 3 platforms, and near Uncharted 4 numbers (an exclusive) on just one of it's 3 platforms. The biggest Uncharted did 15m at last official number, while the biggest Tomb Raider also did 15m at last official number across all Platforms. However, 10m on PS5 alone for Indy feels a bit overzealous imo.

Starfield should have easily been over 10m on PS5 considering Skyrim on PS3/4 and Fallout 4 on PS4 were both over 10m.

Skyrim redfall